Health Care, Freedom, and Equality
14th November 2013
Jerry Pournelle lays out some inconvenient truth.
I used to build models for a living. The notion of systems analysis was to find systems you could model using mathematics that let you solve the model; you then tested the model against the real world. The various climate models do none of this. They don’t even attempt to model in known factors, and they can’t even predict the real world – that is they can’t take the initial conditions of 1950 and run to 2010 and get anything similar to what actually happened. And as the years go on it becomes more and more clear that there is no more warming trend now than there was in the days when the great fear was a cooling trend toward an ice age. The fact remains that we don’t know what generates long term climate trends, and we have absolutely no understanding of solar radiation phenomena.