Africa’s Third Term Power Grabs: Prelude to War
10th February 2016
In late December 2015, Rwandan President Paul Kagame confirmed that he will seek a third presidential term. In doing so, Kagame became the latest member of sub-Saharan Africa’s “Third Term President Club.”
If this notional “club” sounds like a joke, it is not. The “Club” represents the near-permanent retention of personal and near-authoritarian political power.
In sub-Saharan Africa, where tribal rivalries can quickly escalate into savage civil wars, the club is a threat to peace. The Great Congo War (1998-2003) killed somewhere between three and five million people. If Democratic Republic of Congo President Joseph Kabila seeks a third term, that horror may well reignite. Unfortunately, it appears Kabila is dead set on seeking a constitution breaking third term.
You’d think they’d just cut to the chase and establish a monarchy.
Kagame has the woof and warp of a president for life. In several hard corners on our planet, presidents who are not term-limited have a tendency to remain presidents for life, which is another way of saying dictator. Zimbabwe’s Robert Mugabe is an example.
Burundi, bordering on Rwanda and Congo, may be providing a bloody sneak preview of Congo’s club-caused collapse.
In April 2015, Burundian President Pierre Nkurunziza announced he would seek a third term. His decision violated the 2005 Arusha peace agreement that ended Burundi’s 12-year long civil war — a war that resulted in an estimated 300,000 deaths. A substantial plurality of Burundi’s citizens erupted in anger. But last July, Nkurunziza held a referendum ratifying a constitutional amendment allowing him to seek and hold a third term.
However, turmoil and violence continue to afflict Burundi.
Funny how that works.
February 12th, 2016 at 10:56
Dont tell the Kenyan about this!!!
February 12th, 2016 at 17:25
Yeah, he really doesn’t need any encouragement.