The Etiology of the European “Refugee” Crisis
6th February 2016
Baron Bodissey of Gates of Vienna connects the dots.
- The sudden increase began at about the same time as the first terror attack by the Islamic State on Turkish soil. Turkish Kurds were the target of the bomb, but still the attack took place on Turkish territory. That could not be allowed to continue.
- Erdogan had a choice: he could attempt to fight back against the Islamic State, or he could devise a way to divert them into leaving Turkey alone. The former would have been fraught with difficulty — he would have had to take the battle across the border into Syria, which would have aroused both the Russians and the Americans, although for different reasons (the Assad regime is a Russian client, and is currently under Russian military protection, while ISIS and its protean allies are at least in part a US creation, and are considered CIA assets against Assad, Iran, and the Russians).
- Under a tacit agreement with the EU, Erdogan’s police and coast guard had been stopping the people-smugglers’ boats from crossing the Aegean from Anatolia to the Greek islands. This is actually a shorter and safer journey than the one from Libya to Lampedusa, but only a trickle had been coming into Europe that way before last summer. All that changed during July and August, when the bulk of the flow shifted to the Aegean route. This could only have happened if Turkey deliberately stopped interdicting the boats.
- Up until then the Islamic State had served the interests of the Erdogan regime. It is Turkish state policy to bring down the Assad government, and ISIS is working to achieve that goal. Turkey had been supplying the Islamic State with weapons and materiel, or at least turning a blind eye to such traffic and taking a cut of the profit. Erdogan’s family and cronies were also making big money from the sale of ISIS’ oil on the black market.
- By opening the floodgates and emptying the refugee camps, Erdogan allowed an unknown but significant number of ISIS mujahideen to decamp and take up residence in Europe. It wasn’t enough to keep Turkey entirely free of Islamic State terrorism, but it may well have reduced the number of incidents. And it forced the EU to share Turkey’s ISIS problem.
- The “refugee crisis” of 2015 was not a change of process, but only an increase in magnitude of an existing process. The “refugees” had been flowing into Europe steadily for many years, tens of thousands or even hundreds of thousands annually. But the summer of 2015 saw an increase in the rate of flow by at least an order of magnitude.
- Before last summer, the rate of migrant flow was modest enough so that the vast majority of ordinary Europeans didn’t notice it and/or weren’t concerned with it. All that changed in August and September, especially when the craze for Dead Baby Porn hit the media in early September. Sudden public awareness turned the issue into a “crisis”.
- The transnational globalists are encouraging and bankrolling the migration process, including the Aegean route. Someone is helping poor, indigent “Syrian” “refugees” find enough cash to pay the people smugglers so that they can cross to Greece. Someone is paying for the ferries to the mainland, the buses and rail journeys, the food, clothing, bedding, and other necessary supplies required to get those migrants all the way to Munich and Berlin from Lesbos and Kos. And someone is giving them €500 notes for spending money to be used when they arrive in the Promised Land. National governments provide some of the assistance, but a large chunk comes from New World Order NGOs, including but not limited to George Soros’ many sock puppets. There isn’t even any serious attempt to hide this fact; you can find multiple reports about various aspects of it in the MSM. Maybe not on the front page of the NYT, but it’s there — progressives love to brag about this sort of thing where other progressives can read it.
- When the full scope of the increased flow became evident, Chancellor Merkel faced a hard choice. It would have been relatively easy for the EU to reduce the flow to a trickle — simply order the international naval task force already in the Med to stop the boats from proceeding and force them back to the Anatolian coast. However, to do so would have been a reversal of official policy, namely that every single poor unfortunate refugee be rescued and allowed to land in Europe, where he can then apply for asylum. The alternative policy would have inevitably involved more migrant deaths — some of those boats would sink — and Merkel would have had that much more Dead Baby Porn to contend with in the media, plus growing political opposition from the leftish side of the coalition that keeps her in power (and some from the rightish side — Dead Baby Porn induces the abandonment of reason and the embrace of sentimentality even among putative conservatives). So the chancellor chose what seemed the least damaging option: “Come on in, boys! There’s plenty of room for you here in Germany!” This decision looks like it may cause her political demise, but in all likelihood, so would the alternative.
- The result of all this is that a far higher proportion of the European population is aware of what is being done to them, and who is responsible. This may cause various governments to fall, and enhance the chances that “right-wing extremist” parties will increase their share of the vote and even form governments west of the Elbe. If those parties are successfully suppressed by the European establishment, then the real extremists are waiting in the wings, would-be fascists and neo-Nazis of various types who, unlike Tommy Robinson, Geert Wilders, and Tatjana Festerling, do not shrink from violence, but rather embrace it. Civil unrest, with open street warfare between the nationalist-fascists and the antifas, would then become a distinct possibility.