Archive for the 'Think about it.' Category
9th April 2022
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9th April 2022
Read it.
I have always wondered why nobody ever built a graphical programming lanuage (i.e. a language where, rather than coding in words, one dropped symbols on a ‘coding surface’ and connected them with symbols representing what you could do, such as branches and loops). The SQL Server Integration Services design tool does this to a certain degree, but only at a very high level.
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9th April 2022
Hey, a man’s gotta do what a man’s gotta do.
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8th April 2022
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7th April 2022
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Late last month, Donald Trump filed suit against the conspirators who conceived and propagated the falsehood that he had colluded with the Russians to influence the outcome of the 2016 presidential election. Like most of Trump’s ventures, the suit is ambitious, even grandiose. Trump is suing, among others, Hillary Clinton, the DNC, Marc Elias, the international law firm Perkins Cole, Christopher Steele, Fusion GPS, James Comey, Andrew McCabe, ABC, and other yet to be named media corporations. He is suing them for, among other things, injurious falsehood, computer fraud, theft of trade secrets, malicious prosecution, and violation of the RICO (Racketeer Influenced and Corrupt Organizations) act.
Most people can’t push back effectively when the Woke Mob comes for them because they can’t afford to pursue their formal legal remedeis. Trump, however, has deep pockets and doesn’t take shit from anybody.
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7th April 2022
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It’s hard to Follow The Science when they’re just making it up.
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7th April 2022
Hacker News.
I’ve seen quite a bit of discussion on inflation, as a result of an increased supply of money in the system. Some have suggested that the stimulus checks increased the supply of money which may have, in part, led to inflation. I’m curious, if the government instituted a universal basic income, would this lead to inflation?
PhD in econometrics speaking, here’s my handy guide to macro-economics:
– The main variables of interest are (aggregate) real production / income (GDP/GDI), unemployment and inflation (arguably in that order)
– Nobody knows much wrt the causes, effects and future trajectories of any of these. Not professional Ivy League economists who publish in journals like AER, QJE, JPE or Econometrica, nor traders getting paid millions at hedge funds or prop trading desks, nor fringe bloggers, gold/crypto-bugs or neophytes from different fields (traditionally from physics, but probably increasingly from CS/AI/ML). Especially beware when they sound very sure of themselves, often using correct wonky economic jargon or details like the plumbing of money flows. Top academic economist are at least (usually) somewhat honest that they know very very little.
– Even if someone did know anything, 3rd parties like you or I can’t distinguish the Real Truth from quackery.
– The root cause of this knowledge deficiency is the inability to run proper controlled experiments. Pretty much no theory about macro-economics is convincingly testable/falsifiable, except banal trivialities like we can’t make everybody rich by sending everyone a $10M check. This will not change in our lifetime, if ever.
– All the writing on macro-economics is story-telling and catering to their specific audiences. Academics write foremost for other academics to gain a position at a prestigious faculty (and incidentally to influence politics). Crypto-bugs write to sell you crypto-coins. Fringe bloggers like Shadowstats write to get newsletter signups and ad-dollars. Most of them employ the effective mechanism that the reader is initiated to advanced/semi-hidden knowledge, which makes the reader feel better about themselves.
Given this, the answer to your question is: maybe, maybe not, who knows?
The YCombinator Hacker News site often has more than the tech-related stuff you might expect. Highly recommended.
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7th April 2022
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These tiny satellites uncover daily images of climate change, Chinese labor camps, and hidden government areas – and make them publicly available.
We have the technology.
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7th April 2022
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6th April 2022
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6th April 2022
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The media consensus here in the UK is very much that everyone involved in the event is an extremist. Trying to determine that for oneself is rather hard. For one thing, the opinions of the majority of my parent’s generation would now be considered incredibly extreme, as indeed is anyone who upholds even the mildest version of, say, traditional religious ethics and orthodoxy. What is extreme is shifting every year, and you can join the ranks of extremists just by pausing too long on the path of inexorable progress.
Posted in Think about it. | Comments Off on The Romance of Nationalism
6th April 2022
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Where are workers moving to? Away from cities, for starters. A majority (52.5 percent) of the Upwork respondents reported wanting to move somewhere with more affordable housing, and even more (54.7 percent) said they were planning to move “beyond regular commute distances” (more than two hours away).
More recently, the Associated Press reported on a trend of real estate companies “advertising themselves to people on the right, saying they can take them out of liberal bastions such as Seattle and San Francisco and find them homes in places such as rural Idaho.”
…
Savage said clients he works with are “simply tired of the tyranny” — soft-on-crime policies, “insane regulations killing small businesses” and immoral public schools — and are “choosing to flee to a state and locale that they see as a bastion for liberty in dark times.”
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5th April 2022
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5th April 2022
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4th April 2022
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4th April 2022
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David Horowitz authored this essay on the progressive mind. Too many conservatives fail to appreciate the radical evil that lies at the heart of progressivism by, e.g., giving progressives credit for good intentions and assuming that the disasters caused by their policies are inadvertent. David disagrees.
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3rd April 2022
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National Conservatism, if people have heard of it at all, is regarded by many in the English-speaking press as an extremist ideology. In 2020, when the first conference was held in Rome, Daniel Kawczynski MP was furiously criticised by the press for appearing at a conference that also included Victor Orban. Resentment at the hostility of the Anglo-American media still lingered, and I heard from multiple people who felt their movement had been cynically misrepresented by a journalistic establishment that is ideologically hostile to nationalism, even when nationalism is wedded (as many speakers suggested) to civil liberties, democracy, and anti-racism.
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3rd April 2022
Big enough to drive a truck through.
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2nd April 2022
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Memorization means purposely learning something so that you remember it with muscle memory; that is, you know the information without needing to look it up.
Every educator knows that memorization is passé in today’s day and age. Facts are so effortlessly accessible with modern technology and the internet that it’s understanding how to analyze them that’s important. Names, places, dates, and other kinds of trivia don’t matter, so much as the ability to logically reason about them. Today anything can be easily looked up.
But as I’ve gotten older I’ve started to understand that memorization is important, much more than we give it credit for. Knowledge is at our fingertips and we can look anything up, but it’s knowing what knowledge is available and how to integrate it into our existing knowledge base that’s important.
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2nd April 2022
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The blight that is wheat took root 10,000 years ago, when Triticum aestivum, or bread wheat, was domesticated from wild grasses in the “Fertile Crescent” of the Middle East. Initially, the local Neolithics cultivated wheat alongside traditional hunter-gathering and incipient pastoralism (livestock farming). But wheat is a slave-master, demanding in its specific and daily needs, not least the endless — or so it seems to us who have ever grown the stuff — weeding. Wheat locked us into a seasonal cycle of planting, weeding and harvesting from which we have been unable to escape ever since. It also made us more sedentary, both in terms of chaining us to static settlements, and becoming less active. Guarding a wheat field from wild boar requires less energy than hunting wild boar; the lineal ancestor of the couch potato was the campfire bun.
“Carbs! Carbs will kill ya, kid! Stay away from carbs! You’ll thank me.”
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2nd April 2022
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2nd April 2022
Read it.
There is a famous Wizard of Id cartoon in which the king is sitting on his throne when a messenger rushes in to say ‘The moat monsters are starving!” The next panel shows the king and the duke looking down into the moat from the top of a wall when another messenger rushes in to say “The peasants are revolting!” The king turns to the duke and says something on the order of “I think this could work out.”
So I see this article and think of the Amazon workers in New York who just voted to join a union. “I think this could work out.”
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2nd April 2022
Can’t say he’s wrong.
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1st April 2022
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31st March 2022
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31st March 2022
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On Wednesday a top CNN legal analyst (not Jeffrey Toobin) said there is a realistic chance Biden could be indicted by the US government. Now the question we should be asking ourselves is: what if Hunter Biden actually gets indicted? Could Joe Biden’s presidency survive it? If history is any guide, then the answer is no.
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31st March 2022
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It is now apparent that the oligarchy has authorized the truth about Hunter Biden, and hence “the Big Guy”, to come out. One can see the end game: no re-election campaign for sure, but resignation a real possibility.
The key is timing. Is there any reason why the MSM acknowledgement of the truth that they buried could not remain buried? They still haven’t done an expose on the Russia hoax and various other slanders. Even the Durham investigation isn’t stampeding them. So it doesn’t seem that the timing is designed to get out in front of something momentous. It just seems that somebody has a plan that has been put into effect.
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31st March 2022
ZMan does a deep dive.
Regime-ology is a new field of study so the practitioners are still working out the tools and methods for interpreting regime activity. Unlike Kremlinology, on which regime-ology is modeled, the focus is not on a hierarchical structure. The Soviet empire was run by a vertical organization that operated like a corporation. The American empire is a horizontal organization modeled on the Mafia. It is a collection of elite gangster organizations jostling for power within the elite.
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31st March 2022
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31st March 2022
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Psychedelics catalyze the invention of better forms of life, imaginary and real. That was not just the hope of the 1960s counterculture but also of the scientists and activists who have paved the way for the current renaissance of hallucinogen research. But what counts as a better form of life?
Today, the classmate who gave me my first LSD trip for my eighteenth birthday does what he can to limit social inclusion of immigrants in Germany. He came to represent the far-right populist party Alternative für Deutschland in the parliament of North Rhine-Westphalia. Consciousness expansion and rightist thought have never been mutually exclusive and they are currently reconnecting.
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30th March 2022
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29th March 2022
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29th March 2022
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Prioritization(1)
: Ordering a todo list. You make a giant list of things you could do, things you should do, things you’d like to do… and then you put a unique number next to each item. Now it’s an ordered list.
Prioritization(2)
: Only doing the top item on the list. You already have a giant todo list. Which thing are you actually going to finish?
Posted in Think about it. | Comments Off on How To Do Less
29th March 2022
ZMan.
Broadly speaking, a crisis comes in two forms. There is the internal crisis driven by irreconcilable contradictions. Then there is the external crisis that is driven by some unusual occurrence like a natural disaster. The latter tests mostly the ability of the system to weather the storm and recover. The former tests the ability of the system to radically alter itself in order to address the contradiction. This is the most dangerous crisis and the one that few systems survive.
Of course, the internal crisis can be papered over for a long time until some external crisis comes along and makes that impossible. The external crisis puts pressure on the system, forcing it to respond under duress. The internal problems are then made obvious as the system responds poorly. Efforts to quickly resolve those issues in order to address the immediate problems just create new problems. This was the process that led to the French Revolution.
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29th March 2022
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29th March 2022
The Antiplanner peeks behind the curtain.
Now that the war in Ukraine has revealed that Europe is even more dependent on foreign oil than the United States, Americans can smugly sit back and say, “If only those Europeans acted more like, you know, Europeans, they wouldn’t be in this fix.” Because, as everyone knows, Europeans travel mostly by electric public transit and high-speed trains, so they aren’t dependent on oil to get around by car or airplane.
Posted in Think about it. | Comments Off on The Myth of Rail Mobility
28th March 2022
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28th March 2022
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28th March 2022
The Antiplanner makes an obvious suggestion.
The recent earthquake off the coast of Japan derailed a high-speed train and forced East Japan Railway to shut down the rail line. Fixing the line, the company admitted, may take “a considerable amount of time.”
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27th March 2022
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27th March 2022
Read it.
Traditional weights and measures emerged organically as responses to the requirements of human life. Just as scientific hypotheses are proposed to answer intellectual questions, so too are forms of life developed to answer the needs of life. In a reverse Gresham’s law, the good drive out the bad.
The foot, the mile and the pint are all human measures, emerging either from a human reference or for an understood human need. Unlike decimal systems, which can only be divided by 2 & 5, the old shilling — being 12 pennies — could be divided by 2, 3, 4 or 6. Such measures exist at the scale of daily life, and in a world increasingly alienated and atomised they help to bind us to the notion of place and dwelling. The pint is not simply an abstraction of fluid quantity: it’s a social activity, an anticipation and a pleasure.
One of the joys of being an American is that you don’t need to use the fucking metric system unless you choose to do so.
Posted in Think about it. | Comments Off on Measure for Measure
27th March 2022
I think he was right the first time.
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26th March 2022
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26th March 2022
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25th March 2022
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25th March 2022
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24th March 2022
Joel Kotkin.
Perhaps nowhere is the gap between America’s cognitive elite and its populace larger than in their preferred urban forms. For nearly a century—interrupted only by the Depression and the Second World War—Americans have been heading further from the urban core, seeking affordable and safe communities with good schools, parks, and a generally more tranquil lifestyle. We keep pushing out despite the contrary desires of planners, academic experts, and some real estate interests. In 1950, the core cities accounted for nearly 24 percent of the U.S. population; today, the share is under 15 percent, according to demographer Wendell Cox. Between 2010 and 2020, the suburbs and exurbs of the major metropolitan areas gained 2.0 million net domestic migrants, while the urban core counties lost 2.7 million.
This is less a growth in “bedroom suburbs,” supplying workers to the urban core, but one that serves multiple employment centers and commercial development. The latest edition of Commuting in America estimates that almost 70 percent of metropolitan-area workers now live and work in the suburbs; trips within suburbs or suburb-to-suburb commutes constitute more than double the commutes with a central business district as the final destination.
Posted in Think about it. | Comments Off on Exurbia Rising
24th March 2022
Freeberg nails it.
Obama said the question of when life begins, is above His pay grade.
Judge Jackson said she can’t define the word “woman” because she’s “not a biologist.”
Weird that liberals know so much that the rest of us don’t know, until a question emerges with some clear practical ramifications to it. Then suddenly, they can’t answer the basics.
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23rd March 2022
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23rd March 2022
Check it out.
Evergreen notes are written and organized to evolve, contribute, and accumulate over time, across projects. This is an unusual way to think about writing notes: Most people take only transient notes. That’s because these practices aren’t about writing notes; they’re about effectively developing insight: “Better note-taking” misses the point; what matters is “better thinking”. When done well, these notes can be quite valuable: Evergreen note-writing as fundamental unit of knowledge work.
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