22nd December 2012
Scott Adams has some thoughts.
My prediction that robots will dominate management before they dominate blue collar jobs is based on The Dilbert Principle which observes that the least skilled employees are promoted to management. You need your most skilled people doing interface design, engineering, and the hard stuff. Management is mostly about optimizing resource allocation, and that is something a robot can learn relatively easily, at least compared to most skilled jobs.
You might wonder if a robot can have enough leadership qualities to be a manager. I would point out that most humans in management have zero leadership skills, so the bar isn’t set high. You can see leadership in humans when you start getting to the senior management level. It might take a hundred years for robots to get C-level jobs. But I think robots will dominate middle management in twenty years.